Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Investment Basic Part I (Equity Market)


Stocks/Shares 

Definition

In business and finance, a share (also referred to as equity share) of stock means a share of ownership in a corporation (company).

When you buy stock in a corporation, you become one of its owners. If the company does well, you may receive part of its profits as dividends and see the price of your stock increase. But if the stock price falls, the value of your investment can drop, sometimes substantially.

A stock has no absolute value. At any given time, its value depends on whether its shareholders want to hold it or sell it, and on what other investors are willing to pay for it. If the stock is hot, and lots of people want shares, the price may go up. If a company is losing money or a particular industry is doing poorly, those stocks may drop in value. Some stocks are undervalued, which means they sell for less than analysts think they're worth, while others may be overvalued.

Investors' attitudes are determined by several factors: whether or not they expect to make money with the stock, by current stock market conditions, and the overall state of the economy.


Types of Stock

Stock typically takes the form of shares of either common stock or preferred stock. As a unit of ownership, common stock typically carries voting rights that can be exercised in corporate decisions. Preferred stock differs from common stock in that it typically does not carry voting rights but is legally entitled to receive a certain level of dividend payments before any dividends can be issued to other shareholders.


Buying Stocks

Though you probably use the term broker to describe all the professionals who buy and sell stocks, the financial markets use titles to describe more precisely the ways securities change hands.

Brokers handle buy and sell orders placed by individual and institutional clients. They may earn a commission on each transaction or receive an annual fee based on the value of the client's account.

Dealers buy and sell securities for their own or their firm's account, helping to keep the market liquid. Dealers make their money on the difference between what they pay to buy a security and the price they can get for selling it.

Traders, also called registered or competitive traders, buy and sell securities for their own portfolios. The term trader also describes those employees of broker-dealers who handle the firms' securities trading.

Usually you buy or sell stock in multiples of 100 shares, called a round lot. But in some countries (e.g. United States) you can buy just a single share, or any number you can afford. That's called an odd lot. Brokers at one time charged you more to buy and sell odd lot orders. But now these orders are handled electronically, without additional charge.


Value movement

“A stock's value can change at any moment, depending on market conditions, investor perceptions, or a host of other issues.”

The price of a stock fluctuates fundamentally due to the theory of supply and demand. A stock doesn't have a fixed price, or value. When investors are buying the stock, the price tends to go up. But if they think the company's outlook is poor, or if the overall market is weak, they either don't invest or sell shares they already own. Then the price of the stock tends to fall.

But price is only one way to measure a stock's value. Return on investment — the amount you earn by owning the stock — is another. To assess return, you add any increase or decrease in price from the time of purchase and any dividends the stock has paid over that time. Then you divide by the amount you invested to find percent return. As a final step, you can find the annualized return by dividing the return by the number of years you owned the stock.

The stock market goes through cycles, heading up for a time, and then correcting itself by reversing and heading down. A rising period is known as a bull market — bulls being the market optimists who drive prices up. A bear market is a falling market, where stock prices fall by 20% or more and may remain depressed. Overall, the market has tended to rise higher following a fall. But bear markets can take a big bite out of your portfolio's value in the short term. 

Derivatives

Derivatives are financial contracts, or financial instruments, whose values are derived from the value of something else (known as the underlying). The underlying on which a derivative is based can be an asset (e.g., commodities, equities (stocks), residential mortgages, commercial real estate, loans, bonds), an index (e.g., interest rates, exchange rates, stock market indices, consumer price index (CPI) — see inflation derivatives), or other items (e.g., weather conditions, or other derivatives). Credit derivatives are based on loans, bonds or other forms of credit.

The most common type of derivatives being used are: futures and options.


Options

An option is a contract written by a seller that conveys to the buyer the right — but not the obligation — to buy (in the case of a call option) or to sell (in the case of a put option) a particular asset, such as a piece of property, or shares of stock or some other underlying security, such as, among others, a futures contract. In return for granting the option, the seller collects a payment (premium) from the buyer.

Call Option

In the case of an equity option, a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase a set amount of stock (usually 100 shares) at a predetermined price anytime before the contract expires (American Style option) or at expiration only (European Style Option). The predetermined price is known as the strike price.

Put Option

In the case of an equity option, a contract that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell a stock at a set price for limited period of time. The seller or writer of the option is obligated to buy the stock at the strike price in the event that the option is assigned.

 

 

Holder (Buyer)

Writer (Seller)

Call Option

Right to buy

Obligation to sell

Put Option

Right to sell

Obligation to buy

 

Futures

What are Futures?

A futures contract is the obligation to receive or deliver a commodity or financial instrument at a specific date in the future at an agreed upon price today.

These contracts have the following standard specifications:

1.     Underlying instrument

The commodity, financial instrument, or index upon which the item is based.

2.     Size

The amount of the underlying item covered by the contract.

3.     Delivery or contract cycle

The specified months for which contracts can be traded.

4.     Maturity date

The date by which all particular futures trading month ceases to exist and all obligations must be fulfilled.

5.     Grade/quality specification and delivery locations

A detailed description of the commodity or security and where, when, and how it can be delivered.

6.     Settlement procedures

Rules for physical delivery of the underlying item, including how payments are made and received, or the specific cash series and procedures used for cash settlement of the contract.

These contracts are traded on an organized and regulated futures exchange enabling buyers and sellers to transact business. In most cases, traders fulfill the obligation of the contract by taking the offsetting position. For example, if a trader is long a futures contract, he must sell the contract prior to the expiration date to avoid taking delivery of the physical commodity.

 

Futures and Options Distinctions

While both futures and options are derivative products, they have their differences in terms of obligations.

 

Options

Futures

Buyer

Has the right to buy or sell the underlying security

Has the obligation to take delivery of the underlying commodity or financial instrument on expiration at the settlement price.

Seller

Has the obligation to buy or sell the underlying security

Has the obligation to make delivery of the underlying commodity or financial instrument on expiration at the settlement price.

 

Traders that hold futures position always have the obligation to buy or sell the underlying commodity. In order to meet this obligation, traders need to offset the futures position.

In most equity markets, 1 Options Contract gives the right to buy and sell 100 shares while 1 Future Contract normally involves 1000 shares. Thus, options are more affordable to most people as compared to futures.


Leveraged  Trading

Stock that a trader does not actually own may be traded using short selling; margin buying may be used to purchase stock with borrowed funds; or, derivatives may be used to control large blocks of stocks for a much smaller amount of money than would be required by outright purchase or sale. Be cautious that this type of trading involves higher risk and may result in the loss of the initial amount. Not advised for amateur traders.


Short selling

In short selling, the trader borrows stock (usually from his brokerage which holds its clients' shares or its own shares on account to lend to short sellers) then sells it on the market, hoping for the price to fall. The trader eventually buys back the stock, making money if the price fell in the meantime or losing money if it rose. Exiting a short position by buying back the stock is called "covering a short position." This strategy may also be used by unscrupulous traders to artificially lower the price of a stock. Hence most markets either prevent short selling or place restrictions on when and how a short sale can occur. The practice of naked shorting is illegal in most (but not all) stock markets.


Margin buying

In margin buying, the trader borrows money (at interest) to buy a stock and hopes for it to rise. Most industrialized countries have regulations that require that if the borrowing is based on collateral from other stocks the trader owns outright, it can be a maximum of a certain percentage of those other stocks' value.

 

Contract for Difference (CFD)

Another example of leveraged trading is CFD. A contract for difference (or CFD) is a contract between two parties, typically described as "buyer" and "seller", stipulating that the seller will pay to the buyer the difference between the current value of an asset and its value at contract time. (If the difference is negative, then the buyer pays instead to the seller.) For example, when applied to equities, such a contract is an equity derivative that allows investors to speculate on share price movements, without the need for ownership of the underlying shares

Contracts for difference allow investors to take long or short positions, and unlike futures contracts has no fixed expiry date, standardized contract or contract size. Trades are conducted on a leveraged basis with margins typically ranging from 1% to 30% of the notional value for CFDs on leading equities.


Currency or Forex Trading

Is another form of trading which capitalize on the the movement of the exchange rate between basecurrency and quote currency (often mentioned as currency pair). The aim is to earn the difference by converting between the 2 currencies at different timing. Often the currency pair being used are US Dollar (USD) and the local currency, depending on the location of the trader.  Another way is to trade using major currency pairThe Majors are: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, AUD/USD and USD/CAD.

There are also a few derivatives used in forex trading, but I won't go in depth on the subject.

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"The only way to have plenty of money is to learn how to handle the money"

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Wall Street rebounds on last day of the quarter

Technology, financial sectors lead rebound on Wall Street on last day of quarter

  • Tuesday March 31, 2009, 11:47 am EDT

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street is turning higher as investors buy up technology and financial stocks to square their portfolios on the last day of the quarter.

Analysts are attributing much of the advance to large investors loading up on rising stocks to make their portfolios look good at the end of the first quarter, which ends on Tuesday.

Investors have shrugged off lackluster economic data and are snatching up some of the biggest names in technology and banking, including Google, International Business Machines, Bank of America and Citigroup.

At midday, the Dow Jones industrials are up 100 points at the 7,622 level. The Standard & Poor's 500 index is up 10 to 797, while the Nasdaq composite index is up 23 to 1,525.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP's earlier story is below.

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street resumed its advance on the last day of the quarter as investors focused on economic data.

A measure of consumer confidence inched up in March after plummeting to historic lows in February, a private research group reported Tuesday.

The Conference Board said its Consumer Confidence Index rose to 26.0, from a revised 25.3 reading in February -- below expectations, but a small uptick nonetheless.

The market is coming off a two-day pullback after rallying on better-than-expected home sales, retail sales and durable goods data. The Dow Jones industrials have jumped 21 percent in less than three weeks following a government plan for cleaning up bad assets from banks and reassuring remarks from the CEOs of several banks who said their businesses did well in January and February.

If Wall Street can get more evidence that the economy is bottoming out, it has a better chance of making up the sharp losses logged this year. The Dow is still down 14.3 percent for 2009, but up 14.5 percent from its nearly 12-year low on March 9.

Recent data have indicated the economy is "still weak, still poor, but not on a declining trend," said Rob Lutts, president of Cabot Money Management. And that's enough to encourage him to buy stocks in industries such as energy and technology -- ones that usually turn around when the economy does.

"I'm hopeful that by the end of the year, conditions will have improved," Lutts said. With the market already pricing in a severe recession, he said, "I don't think we need a strong improvement to get the stock market going."

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 53.52, or 0.7 percent, to 7,575.54 in morning trading.

Broader stock indicators also gained. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 4.78, or 0.6 percent, to 792.31, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 18.09, or 1.2 percent, to 1,519.89.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 2.24, or 0.5 percent, to 418.21.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by about 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 182.7 million shares.

On the last day of the quarter, some "window dressing" buying may also be affecting the market. Portfolio managers that may have missed out on the recent rally want to be sure they aren't left behind, said Randy Frederick, director of trading at Charles Schwab.

"Imagine you're an institutional investor, you have a lot of cash on hand and missed the recent rally," he said. "Now, you don't want to be left behind in the next quarter. You probably want to put some of the cash to work."

The major indexes had dropped about 3 percent Monday as the White House rejected General Motors Corp.'s and Chrysler's turnaround plans, raising the possibility of an automaker bankruptcy.

On Tuesday, the S&P Case-Shiller index of 20 cities showed that U.S. home prices declined by record 19 percent in January from a year ago. The Chicago purchasing manager's index of business conditions dropped to a reading of 31.4 in March from 34.2 in February.

Bond prices were modestly higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 2.69 percent from 2.72 percent late Monday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, considered one of the safest investments, was unchanged from late Monday at 0.18 percent.

Crude oil fell 37 cents to $48.04 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The dollar was lower against other major currencies. Gold also fell.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.5 percent. In afternoon trading, Britain's FTSE 100 rose 2.8 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.1 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 1.4 percent.

Monday, March 30, 2009

Outlook ahead of G-20 Meeting

On the coming 2 April 2009, G-20 summit will be conducted. Expect the market to retract due to the negative anticipation. Expect bad data on earnings and employment to be released in the coming summit. 

The stocks are likely to fall for the coming weeks. Be careful and dont hold long position.

White House questions viability of GM, Chrysler

White House sets tough deadline to force overhaul of ailing US carmakers

  • Monday March 30, 2009, 8:17 am EDT

WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Barack Obama is sending a blunt message to Detroit automakers: To survive -- and win more government help -- they must remake themselves top to bottom. Driving home the point, the White House ousted the General Motors chairman as it rejected GM and Chrysler's restructuring plans.

Related Quotes

SymbolPriceChange
NOC45.020.00
Chart for NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO

Obama is set to elaborate on that message when he announces Monday what his White House told reporters over the weekend: Neither GM nor Chrysler submitted acceptable plans to receive additional federal bailout money.

GM chairman Rick Wagoner became the most conspicuous casualty of that decision, forced out Sunday as the White House indicated Detroit must make management and other changes if it hopes to survive -- and that the Obama administration will have a hands-on role in those changes. GM and Chrysler employ thousands in Ohio, the No. 2 state for vehicle production.

Michigan Gov. Governor Jennifer Granholm said Monday that Wagoner "clearly is a sacrificial lamb" who stepped aside "for the future of the company and for the future of jobs." She spoke on NBC's "Today" show.

Neither GM nor Chrysler is viable and deeper sacrifices must be made, the White House indicated Sunday, setting the stage for a crisis in Detroit that will dramatically reshape the nation's auto industry.

In a last-ditch effort, the administration has given company a short-term deadline to try one last time to persuade Washington that it is worth saving, said senior administration officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity to more frankly discuss the decision.

In an interview with CBS' "Face the Nation" broadcast Sunday, Obama said the companies must do more to receive additional financial aid from the government.

"We think we can have a successful U.S. auto industry. But it's got to be one that's realistically designed to weather this storm and to emerge -- at the other end -- much more lean, mean and competitive than it currently is," Obama said.

Frustrated administration officials said Chrysler cannot function as an independent company under its current plan. They have given Chrysler a 30-day window to complete a proposed partnership with Italian automaker Fiat SpA, and will offer up to $6 billion to the companies if they can negotiate a deal before time runs out.

If a Chrysler-Fiat union cannot be completed, Washington plans to walk away, leaving Chrysler destined for a complete sell-off. No other money is available.

Shawn Morgan, a Chrysler spokeswoman, said the company wants to work with the Treasury Department and Obama's auto task force but declined to comment on the White House's plans.

"With the administration's announcement on the restructuring of the automotive industry imminent, it would be inappropriate to comment on speculation," Morgan said in a statement early Monday.

For GM, the administration offered 60 days of operating money to restructure. A frantic top-to-bottom effort began Sunday after chairman and CEO Wagoner stepped aside under pressure from the White House.

Fritz Henderson, GM's president and chief operating officer, became the new CEO, the company said in a statement Monday. Board member Kent Kresa, the former chairman and CEO of defense contractor Northrop Grumman Corp., was named interim chairman of the GM board.

In a major management shake-up, new directors will make up the majority of GM's board, the automaker said.

"The board has recognized for some time that the company's restructuring will likely cause a significant change in the stockholders of the company and create the need for new directors with additional skills and experience," Kresa said in a written statement.